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Regional Data Group


Population and Change (Demographics) was the theme of this month’s regional data group hui, prompting discussions about how local agencies can use population data and resources to futureproof the region.

Co-ordinated by Bay of Connections’ Jacqui Rolleston-Steed, the regional data group meets quarterly to share expertise and insights, and hear from guest speakers on topics of interest.

This month’s hui featured presentations from Professor Girol Karacaoglu on Wellbeing, Environmental Quality and Population; Stats NZ Senior Insights Analyst Kim Dunstan on population trends in New Zealand and the Bay of Plenty; and Dr Natalie Jackson on the New Zealand Atlas of Population Change tool.

The presentations provided different perspectives on how the wider Bay of Plenty’s population and demographic make-up is tracking compared to other regions, and how this will impact social and economic outcomes.

Kim Dunstan spoke to data that projected there could be more deaths than births in the Whakatāne district by the early 2030s. The wider Bay of Plenty is projected to encounter the same trend by the 2040s.
Ethnic diversity data showed that Māori, Asian and Pacific populations are projected to grow at a faster rate than the general population in the coming years, while the NZ European/Pakeha population across the region is expected to gradually decline.

The Bay of Plenty is experiencing slightly more internal migration than other regions, however international migrant trends since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic do not indicate a mass arrival of New Zealanders from abroad, as has been suggested in the media.

For more information about the data kaupapa or to request a link to the recorded hui, please contact Jacqui on
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Friday, September 17, 2021

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